🔥 By @supersocks - Since 2016

We analyze bookmaker odds
to find Value Bets

No player stats. No gut feeling. Just the odds. We compare today's odds with 50,000+ historical matches to identify where bookmakers are wrong.

Goal: Positive ROI. Result: 75%+ success rate.

The Cogefox Story

2016. I was grinding analyzing Bundesliga manually. Match by match. Odd by odd.

The idea: when odds are identical, results repeat. I tested it. The results were absolutely insane.

So I automated it. 12 leagues. 50,000 matches. An algorithm that finds value bets in seconds.

Today: football. Tomorrow: Polymarket and prediction markets.

75%+
Success rate
50K+
Matches analyzed
12
Leagues
8
Years of data

How it works

We don't redo the stats. We exploit the bookmakers'.

1

Scrape the odds

Every day, we collect 1X2 odds for all matches from Flashscore/Betclic.

2

Historical match

The algo finds 20 matches with identical odds profiles in our 50K+ matches database.

3

Calculate probabilities

We calculate real probability based on what actually happened. Value bet = prob > implied odds.

🎯 Golden Picks

📅 01/02/2026
Match Pick Odds Prob
🇩🇪
Dortmund - Heidenheim
Bundesliga
1 1.22
85.0%
🇩🇪
Dortmund - Heidenheim
Bundesliga
+2.5 1.55
70.0%
🇫🇷
Strasbourg - PSG
Ligue 1
2 1.6
75.0%
🇫🇷
Strasbourg - PSG
Ligue 1
+2.5 1.55
75.0%
🇫🇷
Strasbourg - PSG
Ligue 1
BTTS 1.75
70.0%
🇮🇹
Cremonese - Inter
Serie A
2 1.24
80.0%
🇮🇹
Parme - Juventus
Serie A
2 1.36
75.0%
🇪🇸
Getafe - Celta Vigo
LaLiga
-2.5 1.55
70.0%
🇵🇹
Sporting CP - Nacional
Liga Portugal
1 1.08
85.0%
🇵🇹
Tondela - Benfica
Liga Portugal
2 1.24
80.0%

cogefox

@cogefox
Follow
16K+ Followers
500+ Posts
75%+ Success

🎯 Today's Picks

🇩🇪 Dortmund – Heidenheim • 1 (85%)
🇵🇹 Sporting – Nacional • 1 (85%)
🇮🇹 Cremonese – Inter • 2 (80%)
🇫🇷 Strasbourg – PSG • 2 (75%)

💰 Good luck!

📊 Weekly results

✅ 12 wins
❌ 3 losses
📈 80% success rate

The algo doesn't lie 🔥

See all posts on Threads

Roadmap

Football

12 European leagues analyzed daily

LIVE
🔮

Polymarket

Value bets on prediction markets

SOON
🤖

API

Programmatic access to picks

SOON